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FX RATES AND USDINR FWDS :

By Goodwill
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March 6, 2024

FX RATES AND USDINR FWDS :

FX Rates and USD INR Forward Rate March 6, 2024

Major developments:

USD is now at 82.90. USDINR opened at 82.90. Fwd premia – 1 year fwd premia is at 1.66% p.a.

-ECB rate decision, and employment data are key events for the week.

-Fed Chairman’s testimony will be watched.

RBI rates

Trade Date	1 USD	1 GBP	1 EURO	100 YEN
5-Mar-24	82.93	105.14	89.97	55.09

-USDINR is at 82.90.Prior day’s close was 82.90.

-Indian Equity indices decline.

-Indian 10 year G-SEC yield is at 7.05%.

-USDINR 1 yr fwd premia is at 1.66.%.

USDINR @ 82.90, EUR/USD@ 1.0855, GBP/USD @ 1.2704, USD/JPY @ 149.93, EUR/INR @ 90, GBP/INR @ 105.32, JPY/INR @ 55.30. Gold@2126, Brent Crude @ 82.30, Nifty @ 22242(-113), 10 Year G-SEC @ 7.05%.

Hedging:

USDINR payables can be hedged at 82.85 . USD EXPORTS can be hedged at 82.96/83.10.

Eur receivables can be hedged at 90.10 . GBPINR receivables can be hedged now.

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Risk Disclosures
on Derivatives

9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.
On an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to ₹ 50,000.
Over and above the net trading losses incurred, loss makers expended an additional 28% of net trading losses as transaction costs.
Those making net trading profits, incurred between 15% to 50% of such profits as transaction cost.

Source: SEBI study dated January 25, 2023 on “Analysis of Profit and Loss of Individual Traders dealing in equity Futures and Options (F&O) Segment”, wherein Aggregate Level findings are based on annual Profit/Loss incurred by individual traders in equity F&O during FY 2021-22.

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