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FX RATES AND USDINR FWDS :

FX RATES AND USDINR FWDS :
  • By Goodwill
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  • March 18, 2024

FX RATES AND USDINR FWDS :

FX Rates and USD INR Forward Rate March 18, 2024

Major developments:

USD is now at 82.88. USDINR opened at 82.84. Fwd premia – 1 year fwd premia is at 1.56% p.a.
 
–US Fed meeting is the crucial event for the week.
 
– India Trade deficit widened in Feb to USD 18.71 bn from Jan data of USD 17.49 bn. Exports expanded to USD 41.40 bn from USD 36.92 bn in Jan. Imports also rose to USD 60.11 bn from USD 54.41 bn.
 
RBI rates
Trade Date 1 USD 1 GBP 1 EURO 100 YEN
15-Mar-24 82.89 105.58 90.16 55.9
 
-USDINR is at 82.88.Prior day’s close was 82.84.
 
-Indian Equity indices decline marginally.
 
-Indian 10 year G-SEC yield is at 7.07%.
 
-USDINR 1 yr fwd premia is at 1.57.%.
 
USDINR @ 82.88, EUR/USD@ 1.0887, GBP/USD @ 1.2730, USD/JPY @ 149.12, EUR/INR @ 90.30, GBP/INR @ 105.51, JPY/INR @ 55.58. Gold@2147, Brent Crude @ 85.65, Nifty @ 22005(-23), 10 Year G-SEC @ 7.08%.
 
Hedging:
USDINR payables can be hedged at 82.60 . USD EXPORTS can be hedged at 82.90+.
Eur receivables can be hedged . GBPINR receivables can be hedged now.
 
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Risk Disclosures
on Derivatives

  • 9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.
  • On an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to ₹ 50,000.
  • Over and above the net trading losses incurred, loss makers expended an additional 28% of net trading losses as transaction costs.
  • Those making net trading profits, incurred between 15% to 50% of such profits as transaction cost.
Source: SEBI study dated January 25, 2023 on “Analysis of Profit and Loss of Individual Traders dealing in equity Futures and Options (F&O) Segment”, wherein Aggregate Level findings are based on annual Profit/Loss incurred by individual traders in equity F&O during FY 2021-22.

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