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CURRENCY MARKET OVERVIEW :

By Goodwill
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March 13, 2024

CURRENCY MARKET OVERVIEW :

Currency Market Overview March 13, 2024

USD/INR Technical view:

USD/INR remains stuck within a multi-month-old descending trend channel since December 8, 2023 around 82.60-83.15. In the near term, USD/INR maintains the negative outlook unchanged as the pair is below the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the daily chart. The critical support level is located at the lower limit of the descending trend channel at 82.60. A break below this level could drag the pair lower to a low of August 23 at 82.45 and then revisit a low of June 1 at 82.25. On the other hand, the first upside barrier will emerge at the 83.00 mark, portraying the confluence of the 100-day EMA and a psychological round mark. The additional upside filter to watch is the upper boundary of the descending trend channel at 83.15. A bullish breakout above the mentioned level might attract bulls and the pair might recover to a high of January 2 at 83.35, followed by an 84.00 round figure.

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Risk Disclosures
on Derivatives

9 out of 10 individual traders in equity Futures and Options Segment, incurred net losses.
On an average, loss makers registered net trading loss close to ₹ 50,000.
Over and above the net trading losses incurred, loss makers expended an additional 28% of net trading losses as transaction costs.
Those making net trading profits, incurred between 15% to 50% of such profits as transaction cost.

Source: SEBI study dated January 25, 2023 on “Analysis of Profit and Loss of Individual Traders dealing in equity Futures and Options (F&O) Segment”, wherein Aggregate Level findings are based on annual Profit/Loss incurred by individual traders in equity F&O during FY 2021-22.

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